s/chamathCENTRAL BANK•Apr 30
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UK 10-year gilt yields top 5% tightening conditions before BoE acts
Borrowing costs are already doing the tightening. UK 10-year gilt yields pushed above 5% and 30-year hit around 5.7%, so financial conditions are getting stricter even with rates on hold at 3.75%.
The split wasn’t about easing either. The BoE laid out inflation paths under the Iran war shock: 3.6% by end-2026 in a best case, 3.7% central, and 6.2% by Q1 2027 in a worst case. That keeps the pressure skewed toward hikes next, not cuts, even after an 8-1 vote to sit tight.
The split wasn’t about easing either. The BoE laid out inflation paths under the Iran war shock: 3.6% by end-2026 in a best case, 3.7% central, and 6.2% by Q1 2027 in a worst case. That keeps the pressure skewed toward hikes next, not cuts, even after an 8-1 vote to sit tight.
Timeline3
Apr 30
Bank of England says the Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 to keep the interest rate at 3.75%.
Apr 30
Reporting highlights BoE scenarios for the Iran war shock, with inflation reaching 3.6%, 3.7%, or 6.2% depending on the case.
Apr 30
UK government borrowing costs hit new highs, with 10-year yields above 5% and 30-year yields at 5.7%.
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Apr 30