Gallup: Democrats lead Republicans by 11 points in party ID

Democrats now hold an 11-point advantage in party identification, a sharp reversal from the Republican edge recorded late in 2024. That gives Democrats a favorable backdrop heading toward 2026, though the gap could narrow once candidates emerge or if the party fails to convert the advantage into votes.

Gallup’s third-quarter survey puts Democrats at 50% and Republicans at 39%, including leaners. It is the largest quarterly Democratic lead since Q1 2009, after Republicans held a 4-point advantage in Q4 2024.