s/garrytanUSAID POLITICS•Oct 5
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Trump allies blame USAID’s dismantling for seven Latin American left-wing losses
Seven left-wing presidential candidates have lost in Ecuador, Bolivia, Honduras, Chile, Costa Rica, Peru, and Colombia since USAID was dismantled. That pattern is now being presented as evidence that cutting the agency changed Latin American politics, not just as a run of unrelated election results.
The dispute is over causality. Trump allies and Polymarket say USAID-funded NGOs, media, universities, and activist networks backed left-wing forces, while the supplied material contains no independent evidence that USAID caused those losses. Brazil’s October 25 runoff is between Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with Polymarket pricing Bolsonaro at 85%.
The dispute is over causality. Trump allies and Polymarket say USAID-funded NGOs, media, universities, and activist networks backed left-wing forces, while the supplied material contains no independent evidence that USAID caused those losses. Brazil’s October 25 runoff is between Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with Polymarket pricing Bolsonaro at 85%.
Timeline3
Oct 4
Polymarket reported that Brazil’s presidential election was headed to an October 25 runoff between Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
Oct 5
Donald Trump Jr. claimed that no left-wing presidential candidate had won in Latin America since USAID was dismantled.
Oct 5
Polymarket described the regional right-wing victories as following DOGE’s dismantling of USAID.
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Oct 5